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Mensaje por Lazaro Morera el Jue Oct 15, 2009 11:50 am

One of the most important developments in the history of the Castro Regime has been annouced "THE END OF THE RATIONING BOOKLET OR LIBRETA DE ABASTECIMIENTO". It began in 1962, it provides basic foods at subscidiced prices that lasts for approximately 11 to 14 days a month. The Cuban goverment no longer can afford it. At first, it was an "achievement of the Revolution". The guarantee of food for the people. The it received the crticism of not being sufficient to satisfied the hunger of the people. NOW IT WILL END.

Its end is supposed to bring a new phase in the economic development "THE CHANGE TO THE CHINESE COMMUNIST MODEL". The big question is "How well prepared is the Cuban goverment to incentivice food production?" Cubam communists are famous for putting "the cart before the horse". This is a good example. The LIBRETA will be replaced with a stipend or x number of cuban pesos. There is even talk of a new currency! As long as there is nothing to buy the end result will be INFLATION of the OLD or NEW currency.

Will the handling of this change toppled the regime?

I have said that the Cuban people is like a frog that is being boiled slowly. As long as the heat (the economic situation) gets worse slowly nothing happens. But if there is a sudden change in the temparature, THE FROG WILL JUMP OUT OF THE WATER! IT WOULD BE COMICAL EXCEPT FOR BEING SO TRAGIC.

The Castros have been able to hold on to power because they (the Cuban goverment) owns everything. No matter where you work, you work for Fidel and Raul. They control the press,the radio, Tv, billboards etc. The have the CDRs (Committes for the Dedense of the Revolution) on every block. The people survived by stealing from the goverment, and relying on the black market. The black market is controlled by govermrnt officials at the middle and high levels of the regime.

The end of the Castro regime will be trigered by A SUDDEN CHANGE In the water in my frog analogy. For isntance:
1. The death of either Fidel or Raul
2. A hurricane that may damage the island.
3. The lack of Venezuelan oil.
4. The expansion of HIN1, guenge, or other decease combined with the lack of the 30,000 Cuban doctors that Fidel sent to Venezuela to "help" Chavez (inform on the people of Venezuela).
5. An accident of the secret weapons of mass destrution program that Fidel and Raul have (Amtrax, nerve gas, and other biological weapons).

Can the handling od the elimination of the LIBRETA be #6 in my list?

Time will tell.

Keep tuned, to be continued..........

Lazaro Morera
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